These allow you to make decisions based on the best possible information available. Probabilistic Forecasts use an underlying system which optimises model use to extract the maximum amount of information available. This enables you to asses the probability of an outcome and effectively manage risk.
Benefits:
- Recognises that no single forecast is perfect
- Excellent for any user who is disproportionately disadvantaged by an extreme event or who wishes to quantify the amount of risk involved
- Takes into account many different NWP models (global deterministic, ensemble and mesoscale)
Product options available:
- Probability of Extremes - These measure the probabality that a customer defined extreme event will occur
- Range Probabilities - These provide you with probability that the observed value will be within a customer defined range
- Confidence Intervals - A confidence interval gives an estimated range of values which is likely to occur within customer defined probabilities
Features:
- Available for temperature and wind up to a 2 week forecast horizon
- All forecasts are unified and consistent as they are created from the same probability distribution
- User can choose which options/threshold/ranges is most appropriate for their purposes
- The underlying system optimises model use to extract the maximum amount of information available
If you would like more information on how these products can help you make better decisions and stay ahead of the game then simply click on the 'contact us' button below and one of our expert will be in touch.
